Further proof I’m a geek

As if anyone needed it – the guardian has posted a poll designed to uncover the top 20 geek novels, and as of now I’ve read 18 of the top 20, I’m missing only Consider Phlebas by Iain M. Banks and Trouble With Lichen by John Wyndham. I just read my first Banks novel earlier this year, The Player of Games, and really enjoyed it, so I’m adding Phlebas to my wishlist. I’d never heard of Trouble with Lichen before and Amazon doesn’t seem to have much info on it.

In terms of which of those top 20 books I’d name as my personal favorite, I’d have to go with:

Dune (Dune Chronicles, Book 1)

Dune

Though it’s a pretty tough call – Neuromancer, Snow Crash, Watchmen and Cryptonomicon are all killer books that I really enjoyed.

Everything’s going to be a web app

I honestly have no idea if this is all going to work out as this current.boom seems to think it is, but man, it really is the second coming of client-server. Today’s example? A flowchart engine built in flash from gliffy.com. They’re in beta and unfortunately not taking new accounts right now, but that link will give you a pretty good sense of what their service is about.

There’s a pretty good comment in the latest cringely column that touches on the core of this I think – he’s talking specifically about Microsoft when he says this:

1) Gates and Ozzie HUGELY over-estimate the role of advertising. This is intentional because it distracts with enthusiasm and plays into current Internet hype. Advertising alone will not be able to support these services, especially if Microsoft benefits from them only tangentially as Ozzie suggests. Remember that for Gates and Ballmer to be happy, Microsoft will have to maintain $2.5 billion per month in revenue and $1.5 billion per month in profit. That’s FIVE TIMES the size of Google without Google’s ad expertise or ad infrastructure. It simply won’t happen.

But the takeaway is – there’s not as much money in net advertising as there is in selling licensed software, not by a ginormous order of magnitude. I agree with Cringley, it’s hard to imagine Microsoft sustaining itself on this business. The question is, can all these smaller players like today’s example? Some of them, including Gliffy, seem to intend to upsell into paid services for some of this stuff, but at least as far as I can recall there’s not a ton of success with this model. Anyone know how many folks actually pay Yahoo for an enhanced email account, for example? Or Flickr? My sense is not a lot, and you’re basically dis-incented to do so because there’s always someone else with a better deal anyway. I’m seeing tons of cool applications coming out these days (Writely, Gliffy, Num Sum, and so on) but what I don’t see is the business model. It reminds me of the first dot.bomb, bigtime. Anyone seeing something I’m not here?

This year’s Interactive Fiction winners announced

It’s sometimes hard to believe that my earliest truly memorable gaming experiences revolved around mono-color text. It may surprise folks that the form, interactive fiction, is still going strong. In fact there’s an annual competition and this year’s winners have just been announced. You can download them from the IF site, and you can also review this year’s submissions. I’ll confess, I rarely play these anymore, though I usually check out the contest results each year. While I’m hardly a graphics snob (I still play super nintendo games and arcade games I played in the 80’s, for example), I find I rarely have the time you need to devote to this form. It’s unfortunate, in that they’ve evolved and become rather sophisticated in style, evolving with their audience I guess. There’s an irony lurking here, in that I suspect these would actually appeal to a lot of folks who wouldn’t be caught dead with a PS2 controller in their hands. If the notion of interacting with a novel appeals to you, check these out and give one a try. The software is available for win32 and MacOS, and for most of the offerings there are ways to get them running under Linux as well.

First mainstream widescreen (16×9) digital camera

Digicamreview has reviewed the Panasonic Lumix DMC LX1, the first consumer level 16×9 digital camera. I’m in the market for a new camera. My trusty canon a40 has been great but 2 megapixels doesn’t cut it anymore. This one is tempting – I shoot a lot of panoramas of the hikes I go on, and this thing would be fantastic for that, both in wide and tall mode – wide so I can take fewer shots per panorama, tall so I can capture more of the sky when I’m shooting the mountains I hike in. To be honest I would never have considered a panasonic until I saw this review. I’d been focusing on Canon and Pentax so far, Canon because they rule and Pentax because they have a decent submersible camera that’s fairly inexpensive. I can get a wide angle lens for several of the Canons I’ve been considering but it adds bulk to the camera and this time around I’m trying to get as light and small of a camera as I can. The review is generally positive, it’s main complaints are with the noise levels the camera produces and the fact that it’s relatively expensive for an 8MP camera. I’m adding it to the list of models to consider when I get around to buying a new camera this spring.

Civilization IV on sale

The latest version of one of if not the finest game series ever, Civilization IV, is on sale for the next 2 days at gogamer.com. I held off on buying it at first because early reviews were super positive but also mentioned a lot of bugs, and from the looks of things they simply rushed it out to get it out in time for Christmas. The developer has a decent track record of patching things post-release, so I figured I would hold out for a deal like this and pounce on it. Which I’ve done.

If you’re not familiar with the series, Civ IV has been around for a long time, roughly since ’92, and versions of it have run on a number of operating systems over the years. It’s even run on some consoles. It’s a turn-based strategy game where you try and shepard your civilization from the dawn of time up through the near future, managing your citizen’s military strategy, economic, political, and philosophical development whilst competing with the other civilizations. I’ve had a version of it running on each of the computers I’ve owned basically continuously since my first copy for my Mac IIsi way back when. My favorite remains Civilization II – III added lots of eye candy and some helpful automation for your settlers and not a lot else. This time around they’ve again gone nuts with eye candy (civ moves to 3d) and completely refashioned the combat model – no longer will a horde of spearman sink your fleet of battleship, nor will your tanks fall to the cavalry of your opponent. It’s also completely extensible this time around – xml data files, all the art binaries exposed, and python for introducing new program logic. I can guarantee there will be some completely awesome mods for this engine in a year’s time – the folks over at Apolyton and elsewhere are already tearing the engine apart. Imagining that perfect lord of the rings strategy game you’ve always wished someone would make? I bet they’re already working on it.

Meanwhile as I mentioned the critics have basically loved the game and the new changes despite some reservations about bugs, and the first patch is due within a week or so. Gogamer has it for $37 shipped, which compares pretty nicely to the list price of $50. Here’s a box shot/link to amazon.com for more info if you’re interested:

Sid Meier's Civilization IV Special Edition

If anyone else picks it up and would care to play some multiplayer, I’m game. I call dibs on the Romans, we’ll see if starting with written language is as useful as it was in previous versions.

The latest George RR Martin book is out

I have a weakness for epic fantasy, borne of my mother’s decision to read the hobbit and then the entire lord of the rings trilogy to my sister and I over the course of our childhood. George RR Martin’s ‘A Song of Fire and Ice’ series is along with Steven Erikson’s Malazan series about as good as it gets these days in terms of this genre, and after a 5 year wait the latest volume in Martin’s series , A Feast for Crows, is out. Early reviews are sadly mixed, observing that the book is overlong and demonstrating a lack of good editorial advice, but I’m buying it nonetheless. Fortunately for fans, the next volume shouldn’t take nearly as long to arrive – Martin basically wrote himself into a 1000+ page corner and decided to re-edit and cut the massive tome into two volumes, so the 6th book in the series will supposedly come out this spring. We’ll see about that, but in the meantime there’s the current volume to enjoy. I’ll post a review once I’ve read it, though it will be a while. I’m currently wading through the latest Malazan book from Erikson (House of Chains) and my bet is I won’t touch another epic fantasy for a while. Don’t get me wrong, Erikson is great, but a single 1k page epic is enough for me for a while.

Full disclosure here – I’m testing integration of wordpress (my weblog software) and Amazon. Clicking on the link means I’ll get a small commission if you buy the book. I’m actually not trying to make any money here, I just find it convenient to have an easy and legal way to get product imagery into my weblog. For example:

A Feast for Crows (A Song of Ice and Fire, Book 4)

LED breakthrough

I’ve written occasionally about how LED lights will gradually displace incandescent bulbs in most applications over the coming decade or so, and this is already happening – look closely at the tail lights of that truck you’re passing, or the traffic light you’re stuck at, and also note how you can buy LED bulbs to replace your existing incandescent bulbs right now, they’re just a little pricey and a little dim for most applications. There’s news today that major progress has been made on the dimness front – researchers in Japan have managed to almost double the luminosity of LED’s. I think this means you’ll be able to manufacture a bulb that’s sufficiently bright to replace incandescents for most household uses. At what cost, I don’t know (and given that the inventor is leaving his research job to commercialize this, my guess is ‘not cheap’ to start), but it’s another step down the path.

Watch out, newspaper industry

Google is aiming at the last firm revenue source of local newspapers with their base service, launched today. My family has strong ties to the newspaper business – my Dad worked on the editorial side of the business for ~25 years, my sister spent around a decade working on the administrative side, and I spent about 6 years in tech management there. I left in disgust after spending my time there trying to help them migrate their publishing online. While I had some successes, I left with the opinion that ultimately they were doomed to lose yet more of their revenue base. Over the past 50 years or so newspapers lost advertising revenue to radio, television, local cable, and direct marketing (ie junk mail), and as each of these categories rose to prominence newspapers percentage of total advertising dollars has declined. The same has been happening with the web, but their classified ads have been relatively stable (or at least, they were at the point I left the industry and stopped tracking it, which was about 6 years ago) – in fact the first dot.com boom increased classified ads from all the employment advertising that was going on. I know that in recent years things like craigslist and ebay have eaten into some of this, to what extent I’m not sure. Given Google’s market dominance you have to believe they’re going to take a big bite out of this revenue as well. If you’re interested there’s a pretty good article over on the nytimes.com site covering this.

For what it’s worth, I’ll shed no tears if the times analysis is accurate. I found newspaper editorial and management staffs to be blind, arrogant and obstinate when it came to thinking about the changes the web represented to their business.